Vol.29 No.3(1994.9)
Research Report

A Neural Network Applied to the Estimation of Processing Time

Fumio Matsunari


Scheduling many tasks properly is an important problem to construct CIM. In solving this problem, precise calculation of the time required for each task is essential. In this article, we take up the problem of estimating the time required for processing resin molds. In this field, rapid technology progress necessitates processing molds by the state-of-the-art technology, resulting in so many kinds of molds needed. Therefore, the estimation of the processing time has been difficult for a computer system and had to be done by processing experts.

We applied a neural network to this estimation. We defined the processing time to include not only the time for processing molds with machines but also the time before and after processing. Also, we introduced 2 types of input variables for the network; dimensional variables for mold design and processing variables.

In applying a neural network to the solution of such a problem, it has previously been criticized that the network looks like the black box and that the value estimated by the network is sometimes very different from the expected value. Therefore, the network has not been used with full confidence.

To solve this problem, we added the weight-decay term to the learning criterion and introduced a selective layer into the network configuration method. As a result, we obtained an estimation system whose qualitative meaning can be easily understood and whose quantitative precision satisfies the requirements.